Almost two years ago, we decided to put our cider into 12 oz cans and release them into the wild. We wrote about why this was a complicated decision and how distributors work. We also talked about the decisions we made leading into the release. We put a lot of thought and effort into the decision. But, even with our over-the-top spreadsheets, calculations, and forecasts, there were still effects on our business that we didn’t anticipate. Here are some of the biggest changes - both expected and unexpected - that came about as a result of canning our cider.
Is it worth risking your business to have cans this beautiful? Maybe.
They exposed us to new people and accounts. This is the whole point, right? We put our cider in cans so that we could sell it at liquor stores and restaurants that have limited draft options. We put our cider in cans so that, someday, grocery stores and sporting venues could carry them. And with each new store or venue that becomes an account, a new batch of people see the name Ash & Elm Cider Co. and become aware of our business. And all of this happened! Yay brand-awareness! Yay new fans!
Traffic to our tasting room declined. We anticipated this a bit, but it was still a bummer when it happened. Before cans, if someone wanted to drink our cider at home instead of at a bar, they had to come to the tasting room and get a growler fill, which would last them for a couple nights, max. Now, they had a more options: they could come to our tasting room and buy enough cider in cans to last them for a month or two. They could go to the liquor store next to their workplace and never step foot in our tasting room at all. We expected a dip in sales in our tasting room, but we hoped that the greater exposure (see #1) would eventually lead to more people finding out about us and checking out our tasting room. That did happen eventually, and tasting room sales recovered, but for those first six months or so, the difference was hard to miss.
It changed our product mix. This one was a biggie, and we should’ve seen it coming. We’ve talked before about profit margins. Our best margins come from draft cider - filling kegs has a much lower labor and equipment cost than canning cider, but the retail price is about the same. If it were up to us, every bar and restaurant would carry our cider on draft (heck, multiple draft lines per bar! CIDER FOR EVERYONE!!).
One thing we didn’t anticipate is that a lot of our draft cider customers didn’t do what we thought they might - keep carrying our cider on draft and add new styles in cans. Instead, they took all of our cider off of their tap list and replaced them with cans. While we’re definitely happy to be in more bars and have more of our styles represented, we didn’t expect to lose so many draft positions when we offered our cider in cans. In fact, our draft sales have been about level year over year: our draft cider sales were up 18% this year and 23% last year. Cans, on the other hand, are increasing rapidly: our canned cider sales are up 119% compared to last year.
Similarly, our growler sales (that precious high-profit-margin liquid) are down since we started offering cans to go in our tasting room. We anticipated more sales overall with cans, but we didn’t adjust our draft options down, and we should have.
It didn’t make us any money... We used a mobile canning service for the first year that we offered cans. We did this because canning lines are SUPER expensive, and we wanted to test the market first. The trade off, of course, is that we’re paying someone to perform a service for us, which eats into the profit margins. We already knew that using a mobile canner would make our profit margins razor thin, but that was with the assumption that draft sales and tasting room sales would continue to grow at the same pace instead of decreasing in velocity.
At the end of 2018, we did some number crunching and realized something sobering: we were losing money on every can of cider we sold. OUCH. We were working harder, longer hours, putting stress on ourselves and our production staff, and we had less to show for it! How could our calculations have been so off? Well…see points one through three above. Each account that took off a draft line and added in cans cut into our profit margins. Each customer that bought cans instead of a growler did the same. Multiply that by every bar and every customer for an entire year, and you end up working harder for less money. Not a sustainable business strategy.
This blog is already creeping up on length, so I’m going to stop it here and will write another blog soon about what we did to stop the bleeding that canning introduced into our business model. Stay tuned!
