Growing Pains Part 2

The last blog I published was in June, called Growing Pains Part 1. In it, I described some of the big projects we’d undertaken in 2021, which led to serious growth and serious growing pains (namely, always being on the verge of running out of cider).

In that blog, I promised to write a second part that was less of a report on what was causing the growing pains and focused on more how businesses can manage big growth phases. Of course, we’re a relatively young and small business, so this blog about big growth is coming less from the place of ‘this is what other businesses should do’ and more from a ‘this is what we’re trying to do’ place.

Here are some of the pitfalls of big growth and how we’re attempting to manage them.

1. Growth costs a lot, and usually it costs a lot before you’ve actually grown revenues.

   In late 2019 (let’s just forget 2020 happened, because we remained at a static state for most of that year), we were flirting with the edge of maxing out our production equipment. That meant that we couldn’t really make much more cider without having to make major investments in our infrastructure and equipment. Over the years, Joseph had come up with work-arounds and tricks to squeeze more cider out of what equipment we had, but if we wanted to make any more cider, we’d need to put hundreds of thousands of dollars toward it. This was because we couldn’t just buy a new tank. If we increased our tank capacity, we’d have to cut a new concrete pad that could handle the extra weight. If we did that, our glycol chiller wouldn’t be able to keep up with new tanks, so we’d have to get a second chiller. But if we did that, we’d have to upgrade the electrical service and the power to the building. And if we did all of those things and could make more cider, our bottleneck would be Pasteurizing it all, so we’d need a better solution there.

   A lot of small businesses find themselves in similar situations. You either have to stop when you’ve maximized your equipment, or you practically have to double everything at once, which costs lots of money and is based on the general ~vibe~ that you’ll be able to grow your sales enough to cover the added expense of this growth. If you are able to find the money to do a major expansion, there are still several possible outcomes. You might find out that it’s going to take longer for sales to pick than you expected and you might run out of cash or even go out of business because your debt burden becomes too much. You could adapt and start offering other services to cover that gap in revenue until sales pick up, like making cider for someone else, or canning cold brew coffee for a local business. In the best situation, your gamble that the demand is out there turns out to be true, and you’re very grateful you had the equipment to handle it.

   We are really fortunate to have a lender we’ve worked with since we opened who believed us when we said we needed money to capture this anticipated interest. Luckily, we were right that the demand was there and that the sales would be there on the other side. PHEW. But these major growth periods present a super risky phase for any company, and it puts of lot of promising companies out of business.

2. Growth means a lot of new people, and potentially, a change of culture. One thing that’s been really important to us since we opened is our company culture. We have a short mission, vision, and values statement as a company, and one of the few values that made the cut was ‘Be nice.’ We want to provide excellent customer service. We want to provide good wages and a good work environment. And we also really want our employees to be nice to each other; to assume the best of each other and give the benefit of the doubt when there are conflicts. To say, “Hey, how are you?” when you see each other instead of, “Did you do this yet?”

   We knew, as we were on the verge of opening the restaurant, that we were about to hire a bunch of new people and that our culture could change pretty quickly if we weren’t on top of it. We had a very intentional meeting with all of our manager-level staff to reiterate what our values were, how we expect managers to behave and handle conflict, and how we want lines of communication to flow. This meeting definitely helped remind everyone of what our expectations were.

   A couple months after we opened the restaurant, we started to sense some tensions rising in our staff, both within small teams and across teams. It happens - any time you double the number of people in your company and ratchet up the stress several notches, the culture is at risk. We had to model ourselves the kind of conflict management we want to see in our managers in a few tough conversations. We had to let some people go who just didn’t fit into the vibe we were trying to cultivate. And we had to publicly acknowledge some of the ways we needed to do better.

   This is the kind of thing that we’ll have to pay close attention to for as long as we’re in business, but a strong culture of people who support each other is worth the effort it takes.

3. Growth means most, if not all, systems have to get redone. We have never been the best at creating replicable systems, but we were managing. Then, we added 8 farmers markets every week, a new full-service restaurant, a huge cider subscription program, and grocery sales onto our tenuous-at-best-processes, and most of our systems buckled under the pressure. We’re doing our best, gritting our teeth and holding on as we get through this extremely hectic and stressful busy season (people love cider in the fall!), but we know that we have a whole lot of shoring up to do during our down season this winter. We’ll (hopefully) have some time to review what worked in 2021 and what didn’t, and to create new systems. So while 2020 was the year of Pandemic Pauses and 2021 was the year of Big Growth, we hope that 2022 will be the year of Replicable Systems and Delivering on 2021 Promises. It’s not so catchy, but it will be pretty important if we want another growth phase in the future (2023??)

Thanks for hanging with us as we’ve grown this year; without customers who are passionate and involved, we wouldn’t have the opportunity to take these big steps.

How Canning Changed Our Business - Part II

In the last post, we talked about how there were some unintended consequences of releasing our cider in cans. After a year of canning - exposing more folks to our cider and growing our sales - we realized that we’d been losing money because having our cider available in a package format affected people’s purchasing patterns.

After taking some time to check our work and make sure it was really true, we had to jump into action to stop the bleeding. These are the steps we took to turn things around (and, spoiler alert - we did! Things are going great! Phew!)

1. We bought a canning line ASAP - I mentioned last week that canning lines are super expensive. That’s for the big guys that do the work for you. If you get an old, used, manual canning line, you can find them for a lot cheaper. We found one of those canning lines for $10,000 from Northern Indiana and snapped it up quick. Once we cleaned it up, replaced some parts, and got it running, we made twice as much on each can of cider than we did before (remember, before was a negative number. So…this sounds wildly better than it really is. But, from -$.05 per can to +$.10 per can is a huge swing when you sell a lot of cans!).

   This was the biggest and most important change we made to fix our situation. However, a manual canning line is exactly what it sounds like: a human being stands in one spot and literally fills each can by hand. In one minute, it takes two people to package 8 filled and sealed cans of cider. It takes three people a full day to package 100 cases of cider. For comparison, when we had the mobile canning people helping us, it took three people one hour to package 100 cases.

   Around the time we started using our new canning line, we had a big, organic jump in sales. A great thing! But instead of using that canning line once a week or so to maintain our supply, we use it 2-3x more often. So, while getting it was transformational and 100% the right choice, it is a temporary solution. We need a bigger line already so we can keep pace with our growing sales.

2. We adjusted our pricing structure. Introducing our cider in cans led to several of our accounts switching from our cider on draft to carrying it in cans. In an effort to encourage folks to keep buying draft cider we actually lowered the keg price so it would be the better deal.

   As a quick aside about that point I just made - it wasn’t as simple as just saying, ‘Hey, we’re lowering our prices!’. We had to think really carefully about how to send out that message and what unintended consequences it might have. It might make an account feel like they were getting ripped off the previous few years and leave a bad taste in their mouth. It might make them think we’d secretly switched to lower-quality ingredients. Plus there’s the whole thing about leaving money on the table - if people were willing to spend this before, why accept less? We finally decided honesty was the best policy - we told folks that instead of pricing our cider per ounce regardless of the vessel, we are adjusting our prices to hit a specific profit margin. It seemed to go over well and made them feel like they were getting a great gift (which they were! Cheaper cider!)

3. We Released Draft-Only Options. One of our mistakes on the distribution side was putting everything we offered on draft into cans. In other words, for every possible cider available to a bar or restaurant, they could get it in either kegs or cans. But one thing that we knew and somehow didn’t think about enough is that bars like to rotate their tap handles ALL. THE. TIME. Even if they have a draft line dedicated to cider (not that common), they never want to put the same one on twice. I suppose we thought that having 4 flagships and one seasonal at all times would cover our bases for the rotation issue, but it turns out that bars really love limited edition, specialty kegs that ONLY THEY can get. Which…I don’t blame them. But we didn’t prepare for that. So, looking to 2020, we are going to be continuing our very popular Cider of the Month Club, where we put a new cider out in our tasting room for one month only, and set aside 5-10 kegs for accounts that want the special stuff. We’ve dipped our toe into this already, and have started getting more and more requests for these specialty ciders, so we’re making it an official thing next year. If an account wants a special cider they can get it! But only on draft.

These three changes really worked. We still sell way more cans than draft cider to accounts, but we aren’t losing our draft accounts any more. We’re selling way more cider in cans, and now, instead of losing a bit of money each time, we’re making a decent profit margin each time. We also have a path for how to continue making upgrades to our production equipment that will continually bring the costs down of getting our cider out the door, so our profit margins will continue to go up without increasing the price.

Owning a business has been a really interesting experience, and I’m sure it will continue to be. What seems so obvious at the time (buy the dang canning line!) takes a lot of waffling to get to. And what seems unimaginable (lower prices to make more money!) can be the ticket to profitability. We’re still figuring it out, but this experience was really helpful. It was a chance to do some real-time, high-stakes problem solving, and at least for now, we’ve solved the canning problem. Onto the next!

How Canning Changed Our Business

Almost two years ago, we decided to put our cider into 12 oz cans and release them into the wild. We wrote about why this was a complicated decision and how distributors work. We also talked about the decisions we made leading into the release. We put a lot of thought and effort into the decision. But, even with our over-the-top spreadsheets, calculations, and forecasts, there were still effects on our business that we didn’t anticipate. Here are some of the biggest changes - both expected and unexpected - that came about as a result of canning our cider.

Is it worth risking your business to have cans this beautiful? Maybe.

1. They exposed us to new people and accounts. This is the whole point, right? We put our cider in cans so that we could sell it at liquor stores and restaurants that have limited draft options. We put our cider in cans so that, someday, grocery stores and sporting venues could carry them. And with each new store or venue that becomes an account, a new batch of people see the name Ash & Elm Cider Co. and become aware of our business. And all of this happened! Yay brand-awareness! Yay new fans!

2. Traffic to our tasting room declined. We anticipated this a bit, but it was still a bummer when it happened. Before cans, if someone wanted to drink our cider at home instead of at a bar, they had to come to the tasting room and get a growler fill, which would last them for a couple nights, max. Now, they had a more options: they could come to our tasting room and buy enough cider in cans to last them for a month or two. They could go to the liquor store next to their workplace and never step foot in our tasting room at all. We expected a dip in sales in our tasting room, but we hoped that the greater exposure (see #1) would eventually lead to more people finding out about us and checking out our tasting room. That did happen eventually, and tasting room sales recovered, but for those first six months or so, the difference was hard to miss.

3. It changed our product mix. This one was a biggie, and we should’ve seen it coming. We’ve talked before about profit margins. Our best margins come from draft cider - filling kegs has a much lower labor and equipment cost than canning cider, but the retail price is about the same. If it were up to us, every bar and restaurant would carry our cider on draft (heck, multiple draft lines per bar! CIDER FOR EVERYONE!!).

   One thing we didn’t anticipate is that a lot of our draft cider customers didn’t do what we thought they might - keep carrying our cider on draft and add new styles in cans. Instead, they took all of our cider off of their tap list and replaced them with cans. While we’re definitely happy to be in more bars and have more of our styles represented, we didn’t expect to lose so many draft positions when we offered our cider in cans. In fact, our draft sales have been about level year over year: our draft cider sales were up 18% this year and 23% last year. Cans, on the other hand, are increasing rapidly: our canned cider sales are up 119% compared to last year.

   Similarly, our growler sales (that precious high-profit-margin liquid) are down since we started offering cans to go in our tasting room. We anticipated more sales overall with cans, but we didn’t adjust our draft options down, and we should have.

4. It didn’t make us any money... We used a mobile canning service for the first year that we offered cans. We did this because canning lines are SUPER expensive, and we wanted to test the market first. The trade off, of course, is that we’re paying someone to perform a service for us, which eats into the profit margins. We already knew that using a mobile canner would make our profit margins razor thin, but that was with the assumption that draft sales and tasting room sales would continue to grow at the same pace instead of decreasing in velocity.

   At the end of 2018, we did some number crunching and realized something sobering: we were losing money on every can of cider we sold. OUCH. We were working harder, longer hours, putting stress on ourselves and our production staff, and we had less to show for it! How could our calculations have been so off? Well…see points one through three above. Each account that took off a draft line and added in cans cut into our profit margins. Each customer that bought cans instead of a growler did the same. Multiply that by every bar and every customer for an entire year, and you end up working harder for less money. Not a sustainable business strategy.

   This blog is already creeping up on length, so I’m going to stop it here and will write another blog soon about what we did to stop the bleeding that canning introduced into our business model. Stay tuned!